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Date: 2007-06-14 06:18 pm (UTC)
Fair comments, and I agree that I have conflated two things. Having a royal flush is (assuming a little elementary deduction) an inherently confidence-inspiring situation. So I tried to use it to illustrate confidence: that which is associated such a situation. A royal flush is not itself confidence.

I suppose I should not have said: "You will win. That's as confident as it is possible to be", but "You will win. This will, I imagine, assuming that you know poker and think rationally, make you as confident as it is possible to be".

To be honest, I wasn't trying to define confidence using this example, since that already was question 1. I was more trying to illustrate how acting confident is different.

I don't think that the word "feeling" is necessary, although of course it commonly is used. I don't think "I feel confident" is any different from "I have confidence", and both are a risk-moderated version of "I have knowledge". There aren't "knowledgeable situations" in poker either, but if asked to illustrate knowledge I might say that "looking at your cards is knowledge". If you see what I mean.

To get back to your first comment on my post, I suppose I'd say the difference between confidence and the-personality-trait-confidence is that people with the-personality-trait-confidence are more able/likely to be confident about (positive) things. It's a lot like the difference between being happy right now, and being a happy person in general, and it's a natural correspondence.

I say "(positive) things", because it has just occurred to me that extreme pessimists are generally not described as being "confident", whereas by my definitions so far, they could be considered very confident, of a negative outcome. So there's another subjectivity there, which my definition should note, that having absolute belief in a negative outcome is considered "zero confidence" rather than "100% confidence". But even then it's fair to say that you're absolutely confident of your prediction.
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chrisvenus

May 2011

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